Tropical Storm BERYL

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022006               
0300 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   1( 1)  22(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   7( 7)  27(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   3( 3)  28(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   3( 3)   9(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X  32(32)   9(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  1  46(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X  12(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
MONCTON NB     50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X  17(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X  14(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  1   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 57   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
HYANNIS MA     50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
NANTUCKET MA   50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 419N  690W 34 73   2(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 12 419N  690W 50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 419N  690W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 448N  643W 34  X  36(36)   6(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 24 448N  643W 50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 448N  643W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 475N  585W 34  X   X( X)  25(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 475N  585W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 475N  585W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     35      35       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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