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Hurricane OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.8N  78.0W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC     20  2  1  1 24
33.3N  78.0W      55  1  X  X 56   MOREHEAD CITY NC   8  6  3  2 19
34.2N  77.7W      21  2  1  1 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   1  4  6  4 15
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  3  4   NORFOLK VA         X  1  4  7 12
SAVANNAH GA        3  5  2  2 12   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  6  7
CHARLESTON SC     20  2  X  1 23   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   34  1  X  X 35   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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