Tropical Storm OPHELIA
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 07 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.5N 80.0W 99 X X X 99 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
29.8N 80.2W 70 X X X 70 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
30.0N 80.3W 58 X X X 58 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 4 5
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3 FT MYERS FL X 1 1 5 7
MYGF 266N 787W 1 X 2 4 7 VENICE FL 1 1 1 5 8
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL 5 2 2 4 13
MIAMI FL X X 1 4 5 CEDAR KEY FL 7 4 2 3 16
W PALM BEACH FL 2 1 1 4 8 ST MARKS FL 1 5 4 4 14
FT PIERCE FL 17 X 1 1 19 APALACHICOLA FL X 3 3 5 11
COCOA BEACH FL 45 X X X 45 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 3 6 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL 40 X X X 40 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 6 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 19 3 1 1 24 MOBILE AL X X 1 4 5
SAVANNAH GA 7 8 3 2 20 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC 1 8 5 3 17 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 3 5 5 13 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X 1 3 6 10 GULF 29N 85W X 2 2 5 9
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 5 7 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 4 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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