Hurricane MARIA
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HURRICANE MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 05 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU SEP 8 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.4N 56.2W 32 1 X X 33 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 2 2
36.0N 54.8W 4 15 1 1 21 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 3 3
37.3N 52.9W X 5 9 3 17 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 2 2
SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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