Tropical Storm IRENE
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TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 11 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN AUG 14 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.8N 67.6W 66 X X X 66 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
28.5N 69.1W 30 9 X X 39 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3
29.1N 70.5W 1 22 1 1 25 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 4 4
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 4 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X X 1 4 5 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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