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Hurricane EMILY


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HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI JUL 15 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON JUL 18 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.6N  78.9W      48  1  X  X 49   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  3 18 21
18.3N  82.0W       X 37  1  X 38   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  1  2
20.0N  85.5W       X  2 28  1 31   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W    29  X  X  X 29   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W    23  4  X  X 27   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X 35  1  X 36   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  4  4  X  8   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  8 16  X 24   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1 10  1 12   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1 25  1 27   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X 23  4 27   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  3  8 11   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  6  6
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  8  8
MHNJ 165N 859W     X  1  7  2 10   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  8  8
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  5  5
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  5  5
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  7  7
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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