Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON JUN 13 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.4N  87.3W      44  X  X  X 44   GULFPORT MS       28  4  X  X 32
32.6N  87.9W      15 17  X  X 32   BURAS LA          20  4  X  X 24
35.5N  87.5W       X 12 13  X 25   NEW ORLEANS LA    11  7  X  X 18
CEDAR KEY FL       2  X  X  X  2   NEW IBERIA LA      1  3  2  X  6
ST MARKS FL       12  1  1  X 14   GULF 29N 85W      46  X  X  X 46
APALACHICOLA FL   34  X  X  X 34   GULF 29N 87W      57  X  X  X 57
PANAMA CITY FL    40  X  X  X 40   GULF 28N 89W      19  1  X  X 20
PENSACOLA FL      43  X  X  X 43   GULF 28N 91W       1  2  X  X  3
MOBILE AL         37  2  X  X 39
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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