Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
2100Z MON OCT 17 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.0W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.0W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.2N 108.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 12.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.1N 111.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.0N 113.7W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.0N 117.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 12.0N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 107.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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