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Hurricane OTIS

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TROPICAL STORM OTIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152005
0300Z MON OCT 03 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. AT 2 PM
PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL OTHER
COASTAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OTIS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 112.4W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 112.4W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.1N 112.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.0N 113.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.9N 113.6W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.9N 113.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.4N 113.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 112.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 
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