Tropical Storm GREG

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TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072005
1500Z SAT AUG 13 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 114.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 114.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 114.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.6N 114.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 15.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 114.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER SISKO/AVILA
 
 
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