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Hurricane ADRIAN

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HURRICANE ADRIAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012005
1800Z THU MAY 19 2005
 
AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR
HAVE UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE EL
SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM
SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  90.6W AT 19/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  90.6W AT 19/1800Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  91.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.4N  89.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.6N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.6N  84.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N  72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.0N  64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  90.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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