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Tropical Storm ADRIAN

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TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012005
1500Z THU MAY 19 2005
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST
OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-EL SALVADOR
BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SIPACATE GUATEMALA TO THE EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM
SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  90.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  90.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  91.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.4N  89.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.6N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.6N  84.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N  72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.0N  64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  90.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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