Tropical Storm ADRIAN

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TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012005
1500Z WED MAY 18 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR...AND THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EL
SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  93.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  93.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.6N  92.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.6N  91.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.6N  89.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  93.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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