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Tropical Storm BETA


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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL262005
1500Z THU OCT 27 2005
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE BORDER
WITH COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS
A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  81.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  81.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  81.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 11.9N  81.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.4N  81.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.9N  81.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.3N  82.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 13.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 13.0N  86.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N  81.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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