Hurricane PHILIPPE

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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172005
2100Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  57.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  57.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  57.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.3N  57.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.8N  58.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 35.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 42.5N  41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  57.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
 
 
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