Hurricane OPHELIA

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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0900Z WED SEP 14 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH OF THE SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO
BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  77.9W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  45SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 225SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  77.9W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.8N  77.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 34.7N  76.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.3N  75.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 44.0N  59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 48.0N  48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N  77.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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