Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
1500Z SUN SEP 04 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  55.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  55.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.3N  56.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 32.3N  56.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 34.1N  56.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.9N  54.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N  45.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 42.5N  40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  55.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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