Hurricane KATRINA

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HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
1500Z MON AUG 29 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z..ALL HURRICANE WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF
MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  89.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  927 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT.......110NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 250SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  89.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  89.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.3N  89.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT...100NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 35.4N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 39.0N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.0N  82.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.5N  72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 51.5N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  89.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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