Hurricane KATRINA

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HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
2100Z FRI AUG 26 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR PENINSULAR
FLORIDA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND
THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  82.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  55SW  35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  82.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  82.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.9N  83.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.2N  85.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.8N  86.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.9N  87.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 30.0N  88.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 35.0N  86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 40.5N  79.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  82.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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