Tropical Storm DENNIS

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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042005
2100Z WED JUL 06 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND
GUANTANAMO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
WESTWARD...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  72.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  72.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  71.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.0N  74.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.4N  76.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.0N  79.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N  81.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  72.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/PASCH
 
 
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