Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012005
0900Z FRI JUN 10 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THESE WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  84.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  84.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  84.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.4N  85.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.2N  87.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N  88.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.0N  88.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 37.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 42.0N  82.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  84.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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