- Search for Search
Hurricane JAVIER

ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SAT SEP 18 2004

...HURRICANE JAVIER CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO 
BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JAVIER WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST OR 
ABOUT  115 MILES... 180 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.
 
JAVIER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH
...13 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED 
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JAVIER WILL LIKELY WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS
MORNING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.  DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIKELY ON THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE CYCLONE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...113.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
$$
NNNN