ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 18 2004 ...HURRICANE JAVIER CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES... 180 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. JAVIER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND JAVIER WILL LIKELY WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY ON THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE CYCLONE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...113.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 18-Sep-2004 08:34:34 UTC