Subtropical Storm NICOLE

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SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED OCT 13 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.6N  65.1W      31  X  X  X 31   EASTPORT ME        X  1  5  5 11
39.5N  64.5W       3 15  1  1 20   ST JOHN NB         X  1  4  5 10
41.1N  64.5W       X 12  3  1 16   MONCTON NB         X  X  3  6  9
BERMUDA           24  X  1  X 25   YARMOUTH NS        X  3  6  4 13
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  1  2   HALIFAX NS         X  1  3  6 10
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  2  2  2  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  2  5  7
PROVIDENCE RI      X  2  4  2  8   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  5  5
NANTUCKET MA       X  5  4  1 10   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  1  6  7
HYANNIS MA         X  4  4  2 10   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  3  3
BOSTON MA          X  2  4  3  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
PORTLAND ME        X  2  4  4 10   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  5  4 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
 
 
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