Tropical Storm MATTHEW

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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON OCT 11 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  90.5W      47  X  X  X 47   PENSACOLA FL       X  7  7  2 16
27.8N  89.0W      16  8  1  X 25   MOBILE AL          X  8  6  3 17
29.5N  87.5W       X 12  4  2 18   GULFPORT MS        X 11  4  2 17
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA           2 14  2  1 19
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1  2  3   NEW ORLEANS LA     1 12  2  2 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  3  4   NEW IBERIA LA      X  9  3  2 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  5  7   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  3  2  2  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  5  6   GALVESTON TX       X  2  2  2  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4   FREEPORT TX        X  1  2  1  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  1  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  3  7  3 13
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  1  2   GULF 29N 87W       X 11  4  2 17
FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  2  3   GULF 28N 89W      14  9  1  X 24
VENICE FL          X  X  2  3  5   GULF 28N 91W      24  3  X  1 28
TAMPA FL           X  X  3  3  6   GULF 28N 93W      13  3  1  1 18
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  4  4  8   GULF 28N 95W       1  2  2  1  6
ST MARKS FL        X  1  6  5 12   GULF 27N 96W       X  1  1  1  3
APALACHICOLA FL    X  3  7  3 13   GULF 25N 96W       1  1  X  1  3
PANAMA CITY FL     X  4  7  4 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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