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Hurricane IVAN


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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  55
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.0N  87.2W      44  1  X  X 45   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
34.5N  86.5W      22  4  1  X 27   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  4  5
35.5N  85.5W       4 12  3  1 20   ST MARKS FL        1  2  2  3  8
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   APALACHICOLA FL    1  2  2  2  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   PANAMA CITY FL     6  2  1  1 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  3  4   PENSACOLA FL      73  X  X  X 73
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3  4  7   MOBILE AL         82  X  X  X 82
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  4  4  9   GULFPORT MS       60  X  X  X 60
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  3  6  9   BURAS LA          27  X  X  X 27
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  5  7   NEW ORLEANS LA     4  1  X  1  6
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  5  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  1  1  3  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 87W      93  X  X  X 93
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W      37  X  X  1 38
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM THU TO  7AM FRI
C FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
D FROM  7PM FRI TO  7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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