Hurricane IVAN

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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 12 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED SEP 15 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.3N  83.5W      50  X  X  X 50   KEY WEST FL        2 14  2  1 19
22.9N  84.4W      19 12  1  X 32   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  4  9  3 16
24.7N  85.0W       X 18  5  1 24   FT MYERS FL        X  2  9  5 16
MWCG 193N 814W    99  X  X  X 99   VENICE FL          X  1  9  6 16
MUCF 221N 805W    14  1  1  X 16   TAMPA FL           X  X  5 10 15
MUSN 216N 826W    51  X  X  X 51   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  2 12 14
MUHA 230N 824W    26  4  X  X 30   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 13 13
MUAN 219N 850W    22  7  X  X 29   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1 13 14
MMCZ 205N 869W     1  4  1  X  6   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X 14 14
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X 12 12
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  4  5   MOBILE AL          X  X  X 10 10
MARATHON FL        1  9  4  1 15   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  9  9
MIAMI FL           X  2  5  4 11   BURAS LA           X  X  X 10 10
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  4  6 10   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  3  7 10   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  4  4
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  2  8 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2 14 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1 14 15
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  9  9   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1 11 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  7  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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