Hurricane FRANCES

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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU SEP  2 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.9N  63.5W      50  X  X  X 50   MDPP 198N 707W     X  1 11  4 16
20.6N  66.2W       5 29  X  X 34   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X 14  7 21
21.5N  68.8W       X 10 16  1 27   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  4 15 19
TKPK 173N 627W     2  1  X  X  3   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X 18 18
TNCM 181N 631W    16  2  X  X 18   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X 14 14
TISX 177N 648W     3  7  X  X 10   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 10 10
TIST 183N 650W     8 10  X  X 18   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 10 10
TJPS 180N 666W     X 10  2  X 12   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6
MDSD 185N 697W     X  1  8  2 11   ST CROIX VI        3  7  X  X 10
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  1  3  4   ST THOMAS VI       8 10  X  X 18
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  2  5  7   SAN JUAN PR        2 14  1  X 17
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  4  4   PONCE PR           X 10  2  X 12
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  7  7   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
TJSJ 184N 661W     2 14  1  X 17   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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