Tropical Storm EARL

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED AUG 18 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.0N  69.5W      52  2  X  X 54   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 16  8 24
15.3N  73.4W       X 35  1  X 36   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1 20 21
16.5N  76.9W       X  2 24  1 27   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  9  3 12
SKPG 125N 717W     4 11  X  X 15   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1 10 11
TNCC 122N 690W    20  1  X  X 21   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 11 11
SVMG 110N 640W     6  X  X  X  6   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 14 14
TTPP 106N 614W     9  X  X  X  9   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  8  8
TTPT 112N 608W    99  X  X  X 99   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X 11 11
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  8  8
TVSV 131N 612W    83  X  X  X 83   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    12  X  X  X 12   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  5  5
MDSD 185N 697W     X  4  X  X  4   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     X 20  2  X 22   MDPP 198N 707W     X  1  1  X  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  8  7  X 15   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MTCA 183N 738W     X  8 13  1 22   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  1 22  3 26
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
$$
NNNN