Hurricane CHARLEY
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HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON AUG 16 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.5N 80.0W 46 3 X X 49 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 13 4 17
36.0N 77.5W X 24 3 X 27 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 7 7 14
40.5N 74.5W X 1 14 2 17 PROVIDENCE RI X X 5 8 13
MUHA 230N 824W 5 X X X 5 NANTUCKET MA X X 3 9 12
MYGF 266N 787W 2 X X X 2 HYANNIS MA X X 3 9 12
MARATHON FL 29 X X X 29 BOSTON MA X X 3 10 13
MIAMI FL 20 X X X 20 PORTLAND ME X X 1 11 12
W PALM BEACH FL 34 X X X 34 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 10 10
FT PIERCE FL 55 X X X 55 EASTPORT ME X X X 8 8
COCOA BEACH FL 63 X X X 63 ST JOHN NB X X X 7 7
DAYTONA BEACH FL 63 X X X 63 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5
JACKSONVILLE FL 49 X X X 49 YARMOUTH NS X X X 7 7
SAVANNAH GA 35 6 X X 41 HALIFAX NS X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC 27 14 X X 41 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC 11 26 X X 37 KEY WEST FL 99 X X X 99
WILMINGTON NC 3 29 X X 32 MARCO ISLAND FL 88 X X X 88
MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 23 2 X 26 FT MYERS FL 84 X X X 84
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 15 6 X 21 VENICE FL 77 X X X 77
NORFOLK VA X 15 9 X 24 TAMPA FL 65 X X X 65
OCEAN CITY MD X 5 15 X 20 CEDAR KEY FL 38 1 X X 39
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 2 15 1 18 ST MARKS FL 5 1 X X 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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