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Tropical Storm BONNIE


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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.2N  90.3W      37  1  X  X 38   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
27.4N  89.0W      15 13  2  X 30   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  5  6
29.5N  86.2W       X  2 20  2 24   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  7  8
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3   VENICE FL          X  X  3  8 11
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  3 10 13
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  5 12 17
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  5  5   ST MARKS FL        X  X 11  9 20
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  8  8   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X 16  6 22
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X 10 10   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X 19  4 23
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1 12 13   PENSACOLA FL       X  2 20  2 24
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1 15 16   MOBILE AL          X  5 17  1 23
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X 17 17   GULFPORT MS        X  9 14  X 23
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 15 15   BURAS LA           1 17  8  X 26
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 14 14   NEW ORLEANS LA     X 13  8  X 21
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 13 13   NEW IBERIA LA      X  8  5  X 13
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 11 11   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  1  X  1  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 85W       X  X 17  4 21
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  7 19  X 26
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 89W       8 18  4  X 30
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 91W      14 10  1  X 25
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       5  6  1  X 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
C FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
D FROM  7AM THU TO  7AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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