Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.5N  90.7W      38  1  X  X 39   TAMPA FL           X  X  1 11 12
26.6N  89.8W      17  8  1  X 26   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1 14 15
28.0N  88.0W       X 11 10  1 22   ST MARKS FL        X  X  2 16 18
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  6 13 19
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  7 13 20
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3   PENSACOLA FL       X  X 11  9 20
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  5  5   MOBILE AL          X  X 12  8 20
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  7  7   GULFPORT MS        X  1 14  5 20
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  9  9   BURAS LA           X  7 12  2 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X 11 11   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  4 12  3 19
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X 14 14   NEW IBERIA LA      X  4  9  2 15
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X 14 14   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  1  5  1  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 12 12   GALVESTON TX       X  1  3  1  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 10 10   FREEPORT TX        X  1  2  X  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  7 11 18
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  5  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  2 14  5 21
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       1 15  6  1 23
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W       1 18  3  X 22
KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X 12  3  X 15
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 95W       X  3  2  X  5
FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  7  8   GULF 27N 96W       X  1  1  X  2
VENICE FL          X  X  1 10 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
C FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
D FROM  1AM THU TO  1AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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