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Tropical Storm BONNIE

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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON AUG 09 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT THU AUG 12 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.3N  90.2W      38  1  X  X 39   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1 10 11
26.6N  89.7W      17  9  1  X 27   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1 12 13
27.7N  88.5W       1 15  4  2 22   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  3 12 15
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  4 11 15
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  8  9 17
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2   MOBILE AL          X  X 10  7 17
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3   GULFPORT MS        X  1 11  6 18
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3   BURAS LA           X  7 10  3 20
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  4 11  3 18
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  5  5   NEW IBERIA LA      X  4  9  3 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  7  7   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  2  5  2  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  9  9   GALVESTON TX       X  2  3  2  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  7  7   FREEPORT TX        X  1  2  2  5
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  1  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  5 10 15
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  2 10  6 18
KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       1 15  5  2 23
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 91W       1 19  2  1 23
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 93W       X 12  3  1 16
VENICE FL          X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 95W       X  2  3  1  6
TAMPA FL           X  X  1  8  9   GULF 27N 96W       X  1  X  1  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
C FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
D FROM  7PM WED TO  7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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