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Tropical Depression TWO

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 03 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI AUG  6 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.5N  63.5W      52  1  X  X 53   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X 10  6 16
16.5N  66.5W       1 32  X  X 33   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  4 11 15
18.0N  68.5W       X 10 15  1 26   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  1  8  9
TBPB 131N 595W    48  X  X  X 48   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  8  8
TVSV 131N 612W    24  X  X  X 24   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    60  X  X  X 60   TJSJ 184N 661W     X 25  2  X 27
TFFF 146N 610W    78  X  X  X 78   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X 11 10 21
TDPR 153N 614W    71  X  X  X 71   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  2 17 19
80400 157N 636W   50  2  X  X 52   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X 16 16
TFFR 163N 615W    54  X  X  X 54   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X 10 10
TAPA 171N 618W    34  X  X  X 34   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  7  7
TKPK 173N 627W    35  3  X  X 38   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
TNCM 181N 631W    15 10  X  X 25   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
TISX 177N 648W     7 27  X  X 34   ST CROIX VI        7 27  X  X 34
TIST 183N 650W     2 26  X  X 28   ST THOMAS VI       2 26  X  X 28
TJPS 180N 666W     X 27  2  1 30   SAN JUAN PR        X 25  2  X 27
MDSD 185N 697W     X  1 19  3 23   PONCE PR           X 27  2  1 30
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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