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Hurricane ALEX

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HURRICANE ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 04 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT AUG  7 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
42.0N  56.4W      22 10  X  X 32   ILE ST PIERRE      X  2  X  X  2
44.6N  47.4W       X 13  7  X 20   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  8  1  X  9
45.4N  37.5W       X  X  8  X  8   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  8  6  X 14
SABLE ISLAND NS    4  X  X  X  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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