Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132004
0300Z SAT SEP 11 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  95.8W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  95.8W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  95.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 11.8N  97.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 12.4N  99.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.8N 100.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 13.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 13.5N 103.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 104.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 15.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N  95.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
FORECASTER COBB/JARVINEN
 
 
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