Hurricane HOWARD
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HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112004
2100Z FRI SEP 03 2004
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 116.2W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 116.2W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 115.9W
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.5N 116.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N 117.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.0N 118.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 45SE 45SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 119.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 28.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 116.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH/HOLWEG
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