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Hurricane HOWARD


ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
1500Z FRI SEP 03 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 115.6W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 115.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.2N 117.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 117.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N 118.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.2N 118.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N 119.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 27.5N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
  
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