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Hurricane DARBY


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052004
1500Z SAT JUL 31 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 138.0W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 138.0W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 137.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N 140.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.0N 143.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N 146.6W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.0N 149.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 154.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.5N 158.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 138.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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