Tropical Storm BLAS

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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032004
0300Z WED JUL 14 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 22.1N 116.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 23.2N 118.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.5N 125.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 24.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 114.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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