Tropical Storm BLAS

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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032004
0900Z TUE JUL 13 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 109.6W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 180SE 180SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 109.6W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 109.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.9N 111.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.4N 113.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.4N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 23.5N 125.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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