Tropical Storm AGATHA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012004
0900Z SAT MAY 22 2004
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.8N 109.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 17.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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