Hurricane JEANNE

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
1500Z FRI SEP 24 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  72.4W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  72.4W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  72.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.2N  74.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.4N  76.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.8N  78.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.9N  80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 105SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 30.7N  81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 40.0N  69.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  72.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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