Hurricane IVAN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
2300Z WED SEP 22 2004
 
AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  89.3W AT 22/2300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  89.3W AT 22/2300Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  88.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.5N  91.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N  95.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N  96.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  89.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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