Tropical Storm IVAN

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TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
0900Z SAT SEP 04 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  37.4W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 125SE 125SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  37.4W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  36.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z  9.1N  39.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  50SE  50SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z  9.7N  43.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 10.5N  46.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 11.4N  49.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  60SE  60SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 14.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.0N  65.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.0N  37.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER RHOME/JARVINEN
 
 
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