Hurricane FRANCES

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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
2100Z MON SEP 06 2004
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO ST. MARKS...AND
THE REST OF THE WARNINGS FOR GULF COAST OF FLORIDA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  84.3W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 200NE 200SE 200SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  84.3W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  84.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.5N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 33.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 34.5N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 36.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 40.5N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  84.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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