Tropical Depression FIVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052004
0300Z SAT AUG 14 2004
 
WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES BY
SATURDAY MORNING. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N  48.3W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.4N  48.3W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.2N  47.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 10.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 11.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.1N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.2N  61.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 17.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 20.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.4N  48.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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