Hurricane DANIELLE

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HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042004
0900Z WED AUG 18 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  40.7W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  40.7W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  40.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.4N  40.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 31.3N  39.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.7N  38.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.8N  37.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.5N  32.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 40.0N  26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 46.0N  16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  40.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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