Hurricane CHARLEY

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HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032004
0300Z SAT AUG 14 2004
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE
NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS
DISCONTINUED.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  81.1W AT 14/0300Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  75SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  81.1W AT 14/0300Z...INLAND
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  81.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N  80.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  25NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.3N  77.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 41.1N  74.1W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 44.6N  70.7W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 48.5N  63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...ASBSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  81.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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