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Hurricane CELIA


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SAT JUL 24 2004
 
CELIA CONTINUES TO WIND DOWN SLOWLY.  THE CYCLONE REMAINS A TIGHT
SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION
INTERMITTENTLY FORMING IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.  DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS ARE AT 30 KTS AND THAT WILL BE THE INITIAL
INTENSITY.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING AT 290/8. THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE WITH
THIS GENERAL MOTION STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      24/1500Z 17.1N 128.8W    30 KT
 12HR VT     25/0000Z 17.4N 129.9W    30 KT
 24HR VT     25/1200Z 17.8N 131.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     26/0000Z 18.0N 133.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     26/1200Z 18.0N 135.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
 
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